Strategic Summary Between Esfand 1404 and Farvardin 1405 (February to April 2026), the “internet shutdown” in Iran was not a simple blackout measure; it was a multi-layered security-technical operation designed to manage the succession at “Pasteur” and control evidence, time,…
1. Introduction: The Intersection of History and the Calendar 1.1. A Historic Day in Two Calendars This report provides an in-depth analysis of key events that occurred on Shahrivar 27 in Iran and its Gregorian equivalent, September 17, throughout the…
The Battle’s Spark: How “Project Phoenix” Forced the System to React The first shot in the battle for Iran’s future was not fired on a battlefield, but in a conference hall. In late September 2024, at an annual Washington D.C.…
“In succession wars, victory is not won on the battlefield, but in the minds of the elites.” Nowhere is this more evident than in Iran’s current contest to shape the post-Khamenei era. A seemingly spontaneous wave of political chatter anointing…
Key Summary: The document proposes an ambitious three-stage plan to transform Iran’s education system, focusing on the complete removal of the Islamic Republic’s ideological legacy, the promotion of critical thinking, and the establishment of a secular and democratic culture. These…
Key Summary: The document proposes a swift and complete turnaround in Iran’s foreign policy: from an ideological, confrontational approach to a pragmatic one based on national interests, including the immediate normalization of relations with the United States and Israel and…
Key Summary: The document proposes a pragmatic and “differentiated” approach to the military-security institutions: instead of complete dissolution and widespread purges, it emphasizes structural rebuilding, the integration of professional forces, and the prosecution of commanders and perpetrators of crimes. This…
Key Summary: The document proposes a tripartite structure (National Movement Council, Transitional Government, Transitional Judiciary) that organizes power centrally under a single leadership. While this model appears effective for rapid decision-making and preventing chaos in a crisis, it faces serious…
Key Summary: The document proposes a “hybrid approach” to managing laws during a transition, preserving the overall legal framework while targeting problematic laws for repeal. While pragmatic and intelligent, this approach risks creating legal ambiguity, political conflicts, and delays in…
At historic turning points, when a nation stands on the brink of fundamental transformation, contemplating “the day after” evolves from a mere necessity into a national responsibility. The transition from an established political structure to a new order is a…
